Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 21 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 18 May 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 46 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued May 18 at 3:44PM CDT until May 18 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Urban PEI: 1,006,174 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- May 18, 2026 · score 52 · 0.0 km
- July 11, 2026 · score 48 · 5.6 km
- May 19, 2026 · score 52 · 11.1 km
How we know
2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.84/1 |
| Coordinates | 38.5611, -89.9725 |
| Nearest City | Fairview Heights (4 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 1.0M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-18T20:44:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e3af18ef65f13c8f2f4cf32e0021e124 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-18T20:44:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-05-18T20:52:51.395Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Clay, IL; Effingham, IL; Jasper, IL; Bond, IL; Clinton, IL; Fayette, IL; Marion, IL; Washington, IL; Crawford, MO; Franklin, MO; Gasconade, MO; Warren, MO and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued May 18 at 3:44PM CDT until May 18 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-05-18T18:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 6 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e3af18ef65f13c8f2f4cf32e0021e124f57ea286.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dbabff3a536120a3ca09dab0ff473b6cc62da205.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f51d25858704af1517e0bba1e5bf5148f039ac5f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.913a8a86c94d4e638a15dcce4e3219a27fb4b386.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.981763280e670dafdad02306926ecdd4a788a568.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7a20f69a9e55d71d7a393b43d10d36416df44d41.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | H |
| Iem Magnitude | 0.7 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | 1 NNE Oakville |
| Iem County | St. Louis |
| Iem State | MO |
| Iem Wfo | LSX |
| Iem Remark | NWS employee reported dime-size hail. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_H_38.460_-90.310_1779120300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779120300000,"latitude":38.46,"longitude":-90.31}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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